Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.191795 0.218296 0.246738 0.279485 0.316102 0.355737 0.401836
2025-12-28 0.157567 0.193205 0.234005 0.284002 0.343437 0.411645 0.495652
2026-01-04 0.134763 0.176213 0.226368 0.291155 0.372218 0.469849 0.595849
2026-01-11 0.115518 0.160067 0.216712 0.293383 0.393720 0.519740 0.689051
2026-01-18 0.101968 0.148887 0.211260 0.299269 0.419086 0.575180 0.792326
2026-01-25 0.091766 0.140561 0.208110 0.307058 0.446614 0.634419 0.903815
2026-02-01 0.080720 0.129451 0.199564 0.305977 0.461121 0.676317 0.993896
2026-02-08 0.071504 0.119755 0.191744 0.304679 0.474473 0.716637 1.083423
2026-02-15 0.063687 0.111165 0.184480 0.303135 0.486730 0.755439 1.172327
2026-02-22 0.058884 0.106738 0.182981 0.309899 0.511414 0.813243 1.291617
2026-03-01 0.053246 0.100228 0.177445 0.309608 0.524837 0.854561 1.388106
2026-03-08 0.048386 0.094453 0.172461 0.309569 0.538288 0.896223 1.486832
2026-03-15 0.043960 0.089073 0.167831 0.310036 0.553088 0.941678 1.595507
2026-03-22 0.040762 0.085564 0.166058 0.315117 0.575719 1.000725 1.728843
2026-03-29 0.038307 0.083162 0.165979 0.323041 0.603532 1.069543 1.881435
2026-04-05 0.035343 0.079404 0.163042 0.325525 0.621965 1.123707 2.012613
2026-04-12 0.033184 0.077007 0.162381 0.332010 0.647695 1.191274 2.169298
2026-04-19 0.031463 0.075307 0.162862 0.340574 0.677559 1.267268 2.343762
2026-04-26 0.028821 0.071316 0.158457 0.339392 0.689380 1.312390 2.467148
2026-05-03 0.026421 0.067559 0.154146 0.337972 0.700502 1.356619 2.590803
2026-05-10 0.024232 0.064006 0.149902 0.336277 0.710849 1.399768 2.714304
2026-05-17 0.023050 0.062662 0.150167 0.343705 0.739158 1.476764 2.901794
2026-05-24 0.021317 0.059780 0.146841 0.343386 0.752126 1.525977 3.040844